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Red46
463924.6
82104.9
541419.7
Blue38
66456.4
85157.0
817725.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3028101520253540454638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.5
11.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
blue by 1.3
25.91.3
16.117.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End11.0
Second
19.71.5
11.412.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End7.7
red by 12.7
8515
#16
7.01.3
7.28.5
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End3.6
Third
8210
#29
4.91.5
5.46.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 1.6
6645
#22
6.41.3
3.34.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned