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Red36
85769.8
23116.7
589214.9
Blue40
32415.2
59236.2
582911.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43250102030506070803640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#9
16.70.2
16.716.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.2
red by 1.5
324
#12
15.21.1
13.114.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Second
5892
#15
14.90.2
14.514.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 3.8
5829
#10
11.21.1
5.66.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
8576
#13
9.80.2
6.66.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End4.7
red by 3.5
5923
#31
6.21.1
7.28.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed