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Red28
32415.2
66456.4
589413.6
Blue17
85157.0
463924.6
45879.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31340204060801001202817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#12
15.21.1
12.311.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 9.3
24.61.6
11.19.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Second
5894
#11
13.61.1
9.48.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End5.1
red by 4.1
4587
#20
9.41.6
12.110.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
6645
#22
6.41.1
7.96.8
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End4.7
blue by 0.6
8515
#16
7.03.3
9.96.6
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed