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Red18
749215.9
42951.7
85769.8
Blue16
73126.6
56824.6
303515.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3029010204050601816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.1
11.210.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.9
red by 0.4
15.61.8
11.39.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
Second
8576
#13
9.84.0
11.07.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End4.7
red by 3.2
7312
#24DQ
6.61.8
8.26.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
4295
#28
1.71.1
8.37.2
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
blue by 2.8
5682
#19DQ
4.61.8
8.87.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed