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Red49
85769.8
817725.9
83707.6
Blue26
43324.2
74186.1
56824.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4590204060801004926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.6
21.922.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End11.0
red by 19.8
7418
#30
6.10.1
5.25.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Second
8576
#13
9.80.7
7.98.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End4.7
red by 5.2
5682
#19
4.60.1
3.23.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Third
8370
#21
7.60.6
7.88.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End3.6
red by 3.4
4332
#26
4.20.1
4.54.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed