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Red25
59236.2
303515.6
28828.2
Blue32
589214.9
582911.2
73126.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32322527293031332532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.4
14.714.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 0.6
5892
#15
14.90.2
14.214.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Second
2882
#18
8.20.4
8.27.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End5.0
blue by 3.0
5829
#10
11.20.2
9.69.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
5923
#31
6.20.4
6.96.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
blue by 0.3
7312
#24
6.60.2
6.16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed