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Red60
749215.9
541419.7
303515.6
Blue43
42951.7
45879.4
817725.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53320204060801006043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.7
17.918.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End7.7
blue by 6.2
25.90.8
22.523.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End11.0
Second
15.90.7
14.715.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.9
red by 6.5
4587
#20
9.40.8
9.09.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
15.60.7
14.315.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 13.8
4295
#28
1.70.8
1.01.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed