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Red38
74186.1
52618.4
589214.9
Blue8
82104.9
45974.5
66456.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311701040506070388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#15
14.90.9
14.415.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 8.5
6645
#22
6.40.7
7.26.4
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End4.7
Second
5261
#14
8.40.8
7.48.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.0
red by 3.5
8210
#29
4.90.7
5.64.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Third
7418
#30
6.10.8
5.36.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
red by 1.7
4597
#32
4.50.7
5.24.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed