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Red26
81508.0
32415.2
43324.2
Blue31
589413.6
85769.8
71153.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28280102040506070802631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#12
15.20.0
14.914.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 1.7
5894
#11
13.60.5
14.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End5.1
Second
8150
#17
8.00.0
7.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End1.4
blue by 1.7
8576
#13
9.80.5
7.67.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End4.7
Third
4332
#26
4.20.0
3.73.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End0.9
red by 1.2
7115
#23
3.00.5
3.53.0
Auto0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed