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Red102
420648.4
246833.9
421921.1
Blue93
808825.4
284827.8
415322.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12575406010014016018020010293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.4
50.850.5
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
red by 20.6
2848
#10
27.80.2
28.228.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
Second
33.90.4
36.336.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 8.5
8088
#12
25.40.2
25.825.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End5.9
Third
4219
#21
21.10.4
23.523.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
blue by 1.7
4153
#20
22.70.2
23.122.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0