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Red98
420648.4
246833.9
421921.1
Blue87
215836.8
258230.7
805516.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178640601001401601809887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.2
49.249.0
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
red by 11.6
2158
#13
36.80.1
36.936.8
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
33.90.2
34.734.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 3.2
30.70.1
30.830.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End11.9
Third
4219
#21
21.10.2
21.821.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
red by 4.3
8055
#30
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End6.4