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Red54
4577.1
174514.7
215836.8
Blue111
23132.1
805516.8
680059.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710420408012014016054111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#13
36.80.4
30.430.0
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
blue by 22.7
59.51.3
49.350.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
Second
1745
#25
14.70.4
21.120.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
blue by 17.4
231
#6
32.11.3
27.929.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.5
End8.8
Third
457
#40
7.10.4
8.27.8
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 9.7
8055
#30
16.81.3
14.716.0
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned