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Red44
458716.7
35455.9
258230.7
Blue59
752122.3
801922.6
464117.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566202040801001204459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
27.826.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End11.9
red by 8.1
8019
#26
22.60.1
19.319.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.5
Second
4587
#32
16.70.9
19.118.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 5.7
7521
#28
22.30.1
19.019.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End6.9
Third
3545
#36
5.90.9
6.45.5
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.9
blue by 11.5
4641
#16
17.40.1
19.319.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned