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Red40
874913.4
589216.1
35455.9
Blue45
271419.2
125519.9
805516.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801004045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#23
16.10.6
16.315.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 3.7
1255
#27
19.90.1
14.814.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.1
End6.0
Second
8749
#17
13.40.6
10.710.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End7.6
blue by 5.7
2714
#15
19.20.1
15.615.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Third
3545
#36
5.90.6
5.95.3
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.9
blue by 10.9
8055
#30
16.80.1
16.816.7
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned