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Red68
887912.1
23132.1
415322.7
Blue121
680059.5
542722.1
885819.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619120408010012014068121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
32.10.4
30.630.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.5
End8.8
blue by 27.4
59.52.6
51.854.4
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
Second
4153
#20
22.70.4
18.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0
red by 0.6
5427
#18
22.12.6
16.118.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End9.3
Third
8879
#34
12.10.4
11.811.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 7.7
8858
#33
19.72.6
13.916.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned