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Red63
458716.7
749218.8
801922.6
Blue102
288129.9
885819.7
11848.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610520408012014016063102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#26
22.60.0
16.916.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.5
blue by 25.5
118
#4
48.10.4
49.750.1
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End13.9
Second
7492
#19
18.80.0
22.622.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.2
blue by 11.1
2881
#14
29.90.4
26.426.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End10.6
Third
4587
#32
16.70.0
19.119.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 3.1
8858
#33
19.70.4
16.516.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned