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Red142
680059.5
271419.2
246833.9
Blue74
541434.6
857611.0
421921.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156120408010014016018014274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.52.7
54.457.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 25.0
34.60.4
29.029.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End8.3
Second
33.92.7
31.033.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 12.9
4219
#21
21.10.4
25.726.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
2714
#15
19.22.7
16.118.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
red by 8.1
8576
#22
11.00.4
9.69.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned