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Red110
808825.4
246833.9
752122.3
Blue50
421921.1
801922.6
271419.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7768406010012011050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.5
34.135.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 11.3
8019
#26
22.61.2
18.417.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.5
Second
8088
#12
25.41.5
18.720.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End5.9
red by 4.3
4219
#21
21.11.2
27.025.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
7521
#28
22.31.5
18.319.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End6.9
red by 3.2
2714
#15
19.21.2
19.318.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsMissed