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Red69
749218.8
885819.7
874913.4
Blue86
415322.7
215836.8
258230.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48900204060801001206986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#33
19.71.3
16.517.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 17.0
2158
#13
36.80.2
30.931.1
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
7492
#19
18.81.3
20.321.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.2
blue by 11.9
30.70.2
28.328.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End11.9
Third
8749
#17
13.41.3
13.214.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End7.6
blue by 9.3
4153
#20
22.70.2
19.820.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned