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Red94
885819.7
246833.9
215836.8
Blue100
174514.7
14853.4
589216.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969570809010011012013094100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#13
36.80.3
33.233.5
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
blue by 16.6
148
#2
53.40.3
56.156.5
Auto15.0
Teleop28.6
End9.7
Second
33.90.3
37.237.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 17.8
5892
#23
16.10.3
16.216.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Third
8858
#33
19.70.3
18.719.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
red by 5.0
1745
#25
14.70.3
18.518.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned