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Red70
463932.2
458716.7
258311.1
Blue50
752122.3
874913.4
421921.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59682040801001207050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.9
31.632.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.4
red by 9.9
7521
#28
22.31.1
21.920.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End6.9
Second
4587
#32
16.70.9
14.915.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 4.4
4219
#21
21.11.1
25.924.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
2583
#39
11.10.9
9.810.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End5.6
blue by 2.4
8749
#17
13.41.1
14.713.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned