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Red82
808825.4
284827.8
4577.1
Blue143
258230.7
541434.6
420648.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5012302040608010014016082143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
27.81.4
26.327.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
blue by 20.6
48.42.5
45.748.2
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
8088
#12
25.41.4
22.624.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 9.2
34.62.5
30.733.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End8.3
Third
457
#40
7.11.4
7.58.9
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 23.6
30.72.5
29.531.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned