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Red77
14853.4
81448.1
887912.1
Blue97
215836.8
271419.2
811423.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857640601001201407797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
53.40.6
56.555.8
Auto15.0
Teleop28.6
End9.7
red by 16.6
2158
#13
36.81.4
33.534.9
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
8879
#34
12.10.6
13.112.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 11.0
8114
#11
23.01.4
20.622.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End13.2
Third
8144
#35
8.10.6
9.08.3
Auto4.2
Teleop1.7
End2.2
blue by 11.0
2714
#15
19.21.4
18.319.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned