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Red132
300545.7
331058.5
303525.3
Blue131
384745.5
62448.5
761615.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411280100120160180200132131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.1
59.159.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 9.9
624
#2
48.50.4
48.548.9
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
Second
45.70.1
46.346.3
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
red by 0.2
45.50.4
45.445.8
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End8.4
Third
3035
#39
25.30.1
26.025.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
red by 9.9
7616
#26
15.40.4
15.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7