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Red117
300545.7
331058.5
303525.3
Blue119
384745.5
62448.5
761615.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611280100120160180200117119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.3
59.559.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 9.9
624
#2
48.50.1
48.548.5
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
Second
45.70.3
46.746.3
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
red by 0.2
45.50.1
45.545.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End8.4
Third
3035
#39
25.30.3
26.426.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
red by 9.9
7616
#26
15.40.1
15.415.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End7.7