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Red101
667235.7
543131.3
310318.0
Blue87
637729.7
373526.1
712124.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9384608010012014010187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.2
36.136.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End10.3
red by 6.0
6377
#28
29.70.1
29.629.7
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End8.2
Second
31.30.2
31.731.8
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 5.2
26.10.1
26.026.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End9.8
Third
3103
#29
18.00.2
18.418.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End11.5
blue by 6.7
7121
#30
24.70.1
24.724.7
Auto9.2
Teleop7.4
End8.2