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Red109
268732.0
406332.9
258723.2
Blue94
147731.1
817738.4
750619.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909640608012014016010994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.3
32.032.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
blue by 5.6
38.40.1
38.738.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.3
End13.4
Second
2687
#10
32.00.3
31.131.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
red by 0.9
1477
#14
31.10.1
31.431.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End8.3
Third
2587
#32
23.20.3
22.322.6
Auto8.1
Teleop3.8
End11.3
red by 3.9
7506
#23
19.30.1
19.619.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1