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Red129
300545.7
331058.5
303525.3
Blue112
268732.0
406332.9
258723.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1528350100200129112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.4
59.859.5
Auto13.3
Teleop31.3
End13.9
red by 25.6
32.90.4
32.532.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End4.7
Second
45.70.4
47.146.7
Auto12.2
Teleop25.7
End7.8
red by 13.7
2687
#10
32.00.4
31.632.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End9.8
Third
3035
#39
25.30.4
26.726.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
red by 2.2
2587
#32
23.20.4
22.823.2
Auto8.1
Teleop3.8
End11.3