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Red36
55038.9
30298.8
129626.0
Blue85
303525.3
731213.7
373526.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47552040801003685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#22
26.00.6
24.023.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Level
26.12.3
16.618.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End9.8
Second
5503
#38
8.90.6
11.510.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
blue by 16.4
3035
#39
25.32.3
23.325.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.9
Third
3029
#40
8.80.6
9.69.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.5
blue by 4.9
7312
#21
13.72.3
11.013.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned