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Red48
857319.7
881913.7
712124.7
Blue102
636922.8
582923.3
62448.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4694020608012014048102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#30
24.70.9
20.019.2
Auto9.2
Teleop7.4
End8.2
blue by 23.8
624
#2DQ
48.51.1
44.445.5
Auto15.6
Teleop24.1
End8.9
Second
8573
#36
19.70.9
17.917.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 3.6
5829
#31
23.31.1
17.018.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
Third
8819
#33
13.70.9
11.110.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 9.1
6369
#15
22.81.1
20.621.7
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned