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Red55
367913.3
406323.8
46109.5
Blue25
805511.7
174514.8
278910.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5039102030607080905525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
23.523.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 9.0
14.80.3
15.214.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Second
3679
#13
13.30.2
13.013.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
red by 1.6
8055
#11
11.70.3
12.111.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
Third
4610
#25
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
blue by 0.7
2789
#18
10.20.3
10.710.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7