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Red59
258218.1
557222.7
38348.2
Blue56
421916.9
419217.8
61557.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54441020304050607080905956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
22.722.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
red by 4.8
17.80.3
17.918.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
Second
2582
#10
18.10.1
18.118.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
red by 1.2
16.90.3
17.117.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End7.9
Third
3834
#19
8.20.1
8.28.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End4.3
red by 0.8
6155
#17
7.40.3
7.57.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4