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Red51
421916.9
419217.8
85077.6
Blue26
37356.7
76218.6
34818.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492204060805126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.1
17.817.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 9.1
3481
#26
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.7
Second
16.90.1
17.017.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End7.9
red by 8.3
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto1.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Third
8507
#16
7.60.1
7.57.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 0.9
3735
#23
6.70.0
6.76.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8