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Red39
76218.6
419217.8
258218.1
Blue11
811411.8
61557.4
55037.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222010405060703911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
18.10.7
13.113.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
red by 6.3
8114
#14
11.81.6
9.27.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End7.5
Second
17.80.7
8.49.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 10.2
5503
#30
7.61.6
6.95.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Third
8.60.7
7.37.9
Auto1.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 1.2
6155
#17
7.41.6
5.53.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed