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Red39
557222.7
278910.2
46109.5
Blue48
63573.3
473411.3
384733.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648304060703948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
23.022.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
blue by 11.2
33.80.1
29.028.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
Second
2789
#18
10.20.3
11.010.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 1.1
4734
#12
11.30.1
12.412.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Third
4610
#25
9.50.3
9.69.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
red by 6.2
6357
#29
3.30.1
3.33.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed