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Red10
57269.5
85077.6
86103.9
Blue8
76218.6
75217.8
37356.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20350103040506070108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.51.2
6.75.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
red by 0.9
8.63.0
7.95.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Second
8507
#16
7.61.2
6.04.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 0.2
7521
#24
7.83.0
9.26.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
Third
8610
#22
3.91.2
8.16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 2.8
3735
#23
6.73.0
13.610.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed