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Red44
55037.6
419217.8
406323.8
Blue62
84085.1
680036.2
174514.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2830010204050604462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.9
12.214.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 12.4
36.23.4
14.117.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.8
End10.3
Second
17.81.9
9.111.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
red by 3.0
14.83.4
7.611.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Third
5503
#30
7.61.9
5.37.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
red by 2.5
8408
#27
5.13.4
6.09.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned