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Red16
75217.8
29666.4
34818.7
Blue20
85077.6
367913.3
278910.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22290104050601620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#26
8.71.5
8.06.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.7
blue by 4.5
3679
#13
13.30.7
13.312.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Second
7521
#24
7.81.5
6.34.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
blue by 2.4
2789
#18
10.20.7
8.37.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Third
2966
#20
6.41.5
7.35.8
Auto4.1
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 1.2
8507
#16
7.60.7
4.84.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed