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Red44
12968.8
85077.6
557222.7
Blue50
419217.8
174514.8
278910.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313401020405060704450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.7
17.319.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
red by 4.8
17.82.1
10.612.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
Second
1296
#28
8.81.7
7.28.8
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
blue by 6.0
14.82.1
11.813.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Third
8507
#16
7.61.7
4.76.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 2.6
2789
#18
10.22.1
9.011.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned