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Red28
367913.3
34818.7
473411.3
Blue64
557222.7
75217.8
419217.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939253035455055602864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#13
13.30.8
16.015.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
blue by 9.4
22.73.1
19.022.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Second
4734
#12
11.30.9
12.211.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
blue by 6.5
17.82.9
12.715.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
Third
3481
#26
8.70.8
8.07.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.7
red by 0.9
7521
#24
7.83.1
4.67.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned