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Red40
258218.1
278910.2
55037.6
Blue45
680036.2
808810.5
85077.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3344102040506070804045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
18.10.4
16.315.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End9.1
blue by 18.1
36.20.1
24.024.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.8
End10.3
Second
2789
#18
10.20.5
11.110.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 0.3
8088
#15
10.50.1
9.79.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End4.5
Third
5503
#30
7.60.4
5.04.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Level
8507
#16
7.60.1
6.36.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned