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Red10
37356.7
38348.2
86103.9
Blue36
406323.8
46109.5
61557.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2838010205060701036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3834
#19
8.21.8
10.68.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End4.3
blue by 15.6
23.80.2
15.615.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Second
3735
#23
6.71.8
8.16.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
blue by 2.8
4610
#25
9.50.2
10.310.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
Third
8610
#22
3.91.9
8.66.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
blue by 3.5
6155
#17
7.40.2
8.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed