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Red22
805511.7
63573.3
12968.8
Blue46
29666.4
384733.8
76218.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233401030405060702246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8055
#11
11.70.1
10.210.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
blue by 22.2
33.81.7
24.326.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
Second
1296
#28
8.80.1
8.88.7
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
red by 0.2
8.61.6
2.44.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Third
6357
#29
3.30.1
4.03.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.6
blue by 3.2
2966
#20
6.41.7
3.95.6
Auto4.1
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed