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Red32
37356.7
34818.7
174514.8
Blue33
61557.4
29666.4
419217.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303201020405060703233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.4
13.714.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
blue by 3.0
17.80.0
15.515.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End7.8
Second
3481
#26
8.70.4
8.08.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.7
red by 1.3
6155
#17
7.40.0
8.78.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
3735
#23
6.70.4
6.36.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 0.3
2966
#20
6.40.0
5.35.2
Auto4.1
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed