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Red86
406323.8
384733.8
85077.6
Blue20
75217.8
473411.3
38348.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652802040801008620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.9
28.930.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
red by 22.5
4734
#12
11.31.1
12.311.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Second
23.81.9
21.623.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 15.6
3834
#19
8.21.1
9.38.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End4.3
Third
8507
#16
7.61.9
5.67.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 0.2
7521
#24
7.81.1
9.58.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed