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Red33
805511.7
55037.6
808810.5
Blue42
12968.8
811411.8
57269.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2327010203040503342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8055
#11
11.70.9
8.99.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
blue by 0.1
8114
#14
11.81.2
10.311.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End7.5
Second
8088
#15
10.50.9
9.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End4.5
red by 1.0
9.51.2
5.97.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Third
5503
#30
7.60.9
4.04.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 1.1
1296
#28
8.81.2
8.49.6
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned