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Red24
85077.6
37356.7
46109.5
Blue41
174514.8
29666.4
55037.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21250103040502441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#25
9.50.3
9.49.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
blue by 5.3
14.81.0
14.215.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End7.4
Second
8507
#16
7.60.3
5.35.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Level
5503
#30
7.61.0
3.74.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Third
3735
#23
6.70.2
6.06.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 0.3
2966
#20
6.41.0
5.46.4
Auto4.1
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsEarned