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Red17
85077.6
84085.1
75217.8
Blue30
86103.9
384733.8
805511.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175004060801730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7521
#24
7.80.4
7.77.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.5
blue by 26.0
33.81.4
26.024.6
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End6.7
Second
8507
#16
7.60.3
6.36.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 4.0
8055
#11
11.71.3
10.18.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End6.6
Third
8408
#27
5.10.3
6.46.0
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
red by 1.2
8610
#22
3.91.3
6.75.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned