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Red23
88168.9
589215.9
174521.3
Blue38
676812.2
805515.3
690114.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801001202338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.8
16.115.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End8.0
red by 6.0
15.30.4
10.911.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Second
5892
#24
15.90.8
12.812.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.4
red by 1.4
6901
#20
14.50.6
11.712.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Third
8816
#16
8.91.3
5.34.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 3.3
6768
#10
12.20.6
9.610.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed