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Red85
419220.3
420642.4
731910.0
Blue63
86255.4
300537.4
750313.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614120808563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.5
27.228.7
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End4.4
red by 5.1
37.41.5
25.927.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End10.2
Second
20.31.5
19.320.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
red by 6.4
7503
#25
13.92.5
8.510.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
7319
#15
10.02.5
8.010.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.6
red by 4.5
8625
#31
5.42.5
6.59.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned